Category

Banks

## On Lynch & Extreme Takes on the Future of Banking  ##

By | Banks, Economics, Inflation, Investing, Macro

I was recently reminiscing to colleagues about my first job in broking all those years ago. In my first week a senior dealer helped me out by slinging me a few books as mandatory reading for a junior junior assistant to the assistant, as my role was termed.
One of them was “One Up On Wall Street” by the legendary investor/fund manager Peter Lynch.
I was reminded of Mr Lynch’s great work as I was speaking to some colleagues about the banks’ eventually getting out of their extraneous wealth & advice divisions & how it reminded me of something from the past.
I let it stew for a while but I believe I have the beginnings of a controversial idea….

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## On Repeated Recession Warnings ##

By | ASX, Banks, Investing, Macro

We’re being a little dramatic, we know. Last week’s note stressing the closeness to the recessionary precipice on which Australia currently stands is still being circulated and we still stand behind it. (The note, not the precipice)
We, as a country, are in real trouble and the market is screaming that at us as well.

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On a Trump warning, dividends in bank accounts and Amazon’s warning

By | Banks, Dividends, Investing, US Election

Firstly, and as an apology, this note will be a prelude to something more substantial regarding what a Trump victory means for the USA and the planet. Whilst it’s not world ending, the world’s eyes are currently upon a very small handful of people and so we must assess its relevance and impact. For the dismissive amongst you I ask that you please remember the Brexit vote which impacted our markets severely on Friday 24th June. Whilst I predicted a vote for status quo by the British public, I never discounted the possibility  that there is an ever growing disconnect between how people say they will vote and how they actually vote. I’m happy to engage anyone on the reasons behind the recent rise of this phenomenon, here is a link to the Wikipedia site regarding the ‘Bradley Effect’.

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