Category

ASX

On Market Drivers & the VIX

By | ASX, Investing, Macro

If you would like to learn more about volatility and how we are using this period of lower volatility to protect your portfolio please get in touch.

Whilst fascination and furore over president Trump has driven the media and the wider public into a frenzy over the past few months, equity markets have been largely sanguine.
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On What Could Possibly Go Wrong in France

By | ASX, Investing, Macro

“The year 1916 was cursed; 1917 will surely be better”
Apparently this was a quote from Tsar Nicholas II’s diary. Whilst there is some debate as to the origin and authenticity of the quote I’m happy to use it here regardless. Please keep it, Brexit & Trump in mind while you read on as we present to you VFS Group Investment Committee’s “French Scenarios.” (Enjoy)
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On Badly Timed Sales and Seasonal Moves

By | ASX, Macro, Month in Review

To tee off there’s been some serious rumblings regarding Harvey Norman this week. We all would have read about it and/or heard about the recent batch of bad news. Anyone who doesn’t know my thoughts on Harvey’s I ask you to please read my last seven months of work on the space. Harvey Norman is a dead man walking even without the alleged accounting scandal & ASIC investigation hanging over their head.
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On Bonds…Government Bonds

By | ASX, Inflation, Oil

Firstly to the weekend papers where I noticed the Financial Times have run a full page article on the Internet Of Things. This is a great read and highlights how the CIA is allegedly using Smart TV’s to spy on users. It goes on with more detail on the dangers we are exposing ourselves to by allowing these devices to become such a trusted part of our lives. Read More

On Low Volatility, Shorter Cycles and Iron Ore’s Big Warning

By | ASX, Iron Ore, Volatility

Over the years you learn a thing or two about equity markets. To state the facts, the Australian market does not go up in a straight line and is inherently less bullish than its bigger brother in the USA. There are a number of considerations to be made when looking at why this divergence occurs between the two markets and most notably it is that we are dominated by 2 sectors: Banks and Miners.

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On fake moon landings, bad tech & the new game plan

By | ASX, Economics, Investing, Moon Landing, Telstra

Last week a colleague and I took a tour of regional NSW (Orange specifically) to discuss portfolio strategies and China. VFS Head of Strategy and resident China expert Jack Kouzi gave a great talk on Chinese growth being more substantial than just GDP growth and iron ore exports, that their ambitions in other fields are a good indication of their overall intentions. One of the points Jack made was that China wants to put a man on the moon by 2025. That’s all good and well for them but it was on the long drive home that my brain started turning this over.

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